Calgary, AB – A new Ipsos Reid poll finds new Premier Ed Stelmach getting a strong initial endorsement from most Albertans. Three-in-four (76%) Albertans think the Progressive Conservatives made a “good choice” in selecting Ed Stelmach as their new leader. A similar proportion of Albertans (78%) are “confident” that Stelmach has what it takes to be an effective Premier of Alberta.
The poll also reveals that Albertans are not looking for substantial change from an Ed Stelmach Government. Fewer than two-in-ten (17%) Albertans say they want to see Stelmach make “major changes” to how the province is governed.
In terms of voter support, the Progressive Conservatives have gotten a big bounce from their new leader. The Stelmach-led Progressive Conservatives are well out front with the support of 68% of decided voters – up a full 10 points from an Ipsos Reid survey taken in late October. The Kevin Taft-led Liberals are a distant second place at 18% (down 4 points), with Brian Mason and the New Democrats sitting at 6% (down 4 points).
These are the findings of an Ipsos Reid poll fielded between December 13 and December 19, 2006, and is based on a randomly selected sample of 800 adult Albertans. Results based on a sample size of 800 are considered accurate to within ± 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult Albertan population been polled. These data were statistically weighted to ensure the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual Alberta population according to the 2001 Census data.
Most (76%) Think Progressive Conservatives Made A Good Choice In Selecting Stelmach And Are Confident (78%) That Stelmach Will Be An Effective Premier
The race for the leadership of the Alberta Progressive Conservatives and the 13th Premier of Alberta is now over, and Albertans think that Ed Stelmach is a good choice to replace Ralph Klein. Overall, three-quarters (76%) of Albertans think that the Progressive Conservatives made a “good choice” in selecting Ed Stelmach as their new leader (33% “very good”, 43% “somewhat good”). Only one-in-ten (10%) think Alberta PCs made a “poor choice” in selecting Stelmach (4% “very poor”, 6% “somewhat poor”).
Furthermore, Alberta’s newest Premier is off to a good start when it comes to Albertans’ confidence in his capabilities as a leader. Nearly eight-in-ten (78%) are “confident” that Stelmach “has what it takes to be an effective Premier of Alberta” (21% “very confident”, 56% “somewhat confident”). Only 15% of Albertans are “not very confident” (10%) or “not at all confident” (5%) that Stelmach has what it takes to be an effective Premier.
Few (17%) Want To See Stelmach Make Major Changes
With new leadership often comes new vision and change. However, when it comes to how much change Albertans want to see from an Ed Stelmach Government, Albertans say they are not looking for significant change. Fewer than two-in-ten (17%) Albertans say they want to see an Ed Stelmach Government make “major changes” to how the province is governed, whereas slightly more than one-half (53%) say they only want to see “moderate change”. Nearly three-in-ten (28%) want to see a Stelmach Government make “minor changes” (20%) or “no real changes” (8%) to how the province is governed today.
New Leader Gives Progressive Conservatives Big Bounce In Voter Intentions – 68% Of Decided Voters Now Favour PCs
Fully two-thirds (68%) of decided voters say they would vote for the Stelmach-led PCs if a provincial election were held tomorrow. This is an increase of 10 points from 58% support registered in Ipsos Reid polling in late October (fielded Oct 26th to 31st). The Liberals are a distant second choice at 18% (down 4 points), followed by the New Democrats at 6% (down 4 points). These results exclude the 16% of Albertans who are undecided or who have no party preference.
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