Washington, DC - The PA Senate race has tightened up considerably. The current survey shows the race as a dead heat at 46% apiece including undecided voters who lean towards one candidate or the others. Our August survey showed the Republican Pat Toomey with a 10 percentage point advantage among likely voters (Toomey 47% vs. Democrat Joe Sestak 37%). There are only 6% remaining who are undecided so this race will most likely continue to be hard fought until election day.
- Sestak’s ability to fight back into the race appears to be based in part on his ability to convince Pennsylvanians that he is best positioned on a number of important economic issues:
- Pluralities say that Sestak has better policies on “America’s policies towards China” (Sestak 33% vs. Toomey 28%), “Keeping jobs in this country” (Sestak 37% vs. Toomey 31%), and “Standing up for America’s interests” (Sestak 40% vs. Toomey 34%).
- Toomey has more credibility on “Balancing our national budget” (Toomey 36% vs. Sestak 28%).
- The two candidates are split on “Creating jobs for the people of PA” (Sestak 34% vs. Toomey 34%) and “Abortion” (Sestak 31% vs. Toomey 31%).
The race to become the next governor of Pennsylvania is a little more clear-cut. Currently Republican Tom Corbett enjoys a 6 percentage point advantage among likely voters over Democrat Dan Onorato (Corbett 49% vs. Onorato 43%). This is a significantly closer race than we observed in August when Corbett enjoyed a 15 percentage point advantage (Corbett 49% vs. Onorato 34%) but it remains outside the margin of error.
The majority of Pennsylvania likely voters (54%) disapprove of the job Ed Rendell is doing as governor. However, there remains a large proportion of the population (42%) who approve of Rendell.
Much of the discontent in Pennsylvania, as across the country, can be traced back to the economy. In our October survey, 63% of registered voters say the economy or jobs are the biggest problem facing PA. This is an increase of 15 percentage points from the 48% who said the same in August.
- The Democrats’ effort to push “fair trade” appears to be reaching fertile ground. In our current survey a plurality of Pennsylvanians (48%) agree that “Free trade is damaging to US interests because it subjects American companies and products to unfair competition from cheap labor abroad.” Slightly fewer (44%) agree with the free trade position “Free trade is a good thing because it opens global markets for American products.”
More data and full technical details are available in the topline document which is available for download on the right-hand side of this page.
For more information on this press release, please contact:
Senior Research Manager
Ipsos Public Affairs
Ipsos is a leading global survey-based market research company, owned and managed by research professionals. Ipsos helps interpret, simulate, and anticipate the needs and responses of consumers, customers, and citizens around the world.
Member companies assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media. They measure public opinion around the globe.
Ipsos member companies offer expertise in advertising, customer loyalty, marketing, media, and public affairs research, as well as forecasting, modeling, and consulting. Ipsos has a full line of custom, syndicated, omnibus, panel, and online research products and services, guided by industry experts and bolstered by advanced analytics and methodologies. The company was founded in 1975 and has been publicly traded since 1999.
In 2009, Ipsos generated global revenues of €943.7 million ($1.31 billion U.S.).
Visit www.ipsos-na.com to learn more about Ipsos offerings and capabilities.
Ipsos, listed on the Eurolist of Euronext – Comp B, is part of SBF 120 and the Mid-100 Index, adheres to the Next Prime segment and is eligible to the Deferred Settlement System. Isin FR0000073298, Reuters ISOS.PA, Bloomberg IPS:FP