Ipsos/Reuters Poll (February 4): Core Political Approval

Thursday, February 04, 2016

Washington, DC — Barack Obama’s approval is at 46% this week.

Republican Primary

In national polling conducted just before and after the Iowa Caucuses, Donald Trump continues to lead among Republicans registered voters nationwide at 36%.

  • Ted Cruz remains in second with 16% nationally among Republicans voters, now statistically tied with Marco Rubio (at 14%).

Democratic Primary

Hillary Clinton remains solidly in the lead among Democrats nationwide, with 54% of Dem registered voters.

  • Sanders (39%) remains in second place among Democratic voters.

General Election Matchups

In hypothetical 2-way general election matchups between Trump or Cruz vs. Sanders or Clinton, the Democrats are leading all matchups.

  • Clinton performs the strongest against either Republican at +8 vs. Trump and +10 vs. Cruz among all registered voters.

In a hypothetical 3-way matchup including independent Michael Bloomberg, the Independent pulls support from both major party candidates.

  • Of particular note, if the race was Trump vs. Sanders vs. Bloomberg, the Dem and Republican candidates are tied (at 36%) and Bloomberg draws support from 9% of registered voters.

Topline results are available for download on the right side of the page.

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters January 30-February 3, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 1,685 Americans, including 704 Democrats, 631 Republicans, and 222 Independents ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points for all adults, 4.2 percentage points for Democrats, 4.4 percentage points for Republicans, and 7.5 percentage points for Independents. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

For more information on this news release please contact:

Clifford Young
President, US Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com

Julia Clark
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
312.526.4919
julia.clark@ipsos.com

Chris Jackson
Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2011
chris.jackson@ipsos.com

About Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

To learn more visit: www.ipsos-na.com

About Ipsos

Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry.

With offices in 87 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media, customer loyalty, marketing, public affairs research, and survey management.

Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,669.5 ($2,218.4 million) in 2014.

Visit www.ipsos.com to learn more about Ipsos’ offerings and capabilities.


Ipsos/Reuters Poll (February 4): Core Political Approval

Downloads PDF

Topline Results

Contact

Chris Jackson
Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.202.420.2025
chris.jackson@ipsos.com
Clifford Young
President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com
Julia Clark
Senior Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.312.526.4919
julia.clark@ipsos.com