Ipsos/Reuters Poll (February 19): Core Political Approval

Friday, February 19, 2016

Washington, DC — Barack Obama’s approval is at 45% this week.

Republican Primary

In our first full round of polling after Iowa and New Hampshire, Donald Trump has extended his lead among Republicans registered voters nationwide to 40%

  • Ted Cruz remains in second with 17% nationally among Republicans voters, losing some of the gains he picked up after Iowa.
  • Ben Carson (10%) and Marco Rubio (11%) are tied in third nationally.

Democratic Primary

Hillary Clinton remains in the lead among Democrats nationwide, with 53% of Dem registered voters

  • Bernie Sanders national support remains close to Clinton (at 42%) among Democratic voters.
  • Including Independent voters, Clinton and Sanders remain statistically tied (45% to 42% respectively) in the national poll.

General Election Matchups

In hypothetical 2-way general election matchups between Trump or Cruz vs. Sanders or Clinton, the Democrats continue to lead all matchups among registered voters

  • Sanders and Clinton continue to perform equally strong in hypothetical matchups against Trump and Cruz.

In a hypothetical 3-way matchup including independent Michael Bloomberg, the Independent pulls support from both major party candidates

  • The potential independent draws about 10% of registered voters while the Democrats still hold an advantage over the Republicans.
  • Donald Trump performs much better than Ted Cruz in these matchups, with only a 4-6 percentage point deficit to the Democrats (compared to Cruz 15-20 point deficit).

Topline results are available for download on the right side of the page.

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters February 13-17, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 1,473 Americans, including 628 Democrats, 517 Republicans, and 165 Independents ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points for all adults, 4.5 percentage points for Democrats, 4.9 percentage points for Republicans, and 8.7 percentage points for Independents. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

For more information on this news release please contact:

Clifford Young
President, US Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com

Julia Clark
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
312.526.4919
julia.clark@ipsos.com

Chris Jackson
Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2011
chris.jackson@ipsos.com

About Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

To learn more visit: www.ipsos- na.com

About Ipsos

Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry.

With offices in 87 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media, customer loyalty, marketing, public affairs research, and survey management.

Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,669.5 ($2,218.4 million) in 2014.

Visit www.ipsos.com to learn more about Ipsos’ offerings and capabilities.


Ipsos/Reuters Poll (February 19): Core Political Approval

Downloads PDF

Topline Results

Contact

Chris Jackson
Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.202.420.2025
chris.jackson@ipsos.com
Clifford Young
President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com
Julia Clark
Senior Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.312.526.4919
julia.clark@ipsos.com