Ipsos/Reuters Poll (June 16): Core Political

Thursday, June 16, 2016

Washington, DC — Barack Obama’s approval rating is at 48% this week. This is the fourth week in a row where the President’s approval rating has (narrowly) exceeded his disapproval rating

Political Trends

In the wake of the Orlando attack, terrorism is back to the most mentioned problem facing America, tied with the economy this week. The increase in mentions for terrorism coincides with decreased mentions of immigration and healthcare as main issues

Also potentially attributable to Orlando, the number of Americans saying the country is on the right track fell 4 points to 21% this week

General Election Matchups

The general election race between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump is essentially unchanged. Clinton leads by 9 points, at 41% to Trump’s 32% among registered voters nationwide

  • Trump’s performance among Republicans has worsened this week with him now holding the support of 68% of Republican registered voters, down from 71% last week
  • Clinton has held the same level of support among Democrats with 75%, slightly up from 74% last week

General Election Matchups (NEW)

In our first publication of the 4-way ballot including Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Jill Stein, the overall picture is relatively similar to the 2-way ballot. Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 10 points among registered voters, 39% to 29%

  • The two third party candidates cumulatively attract the support of 10% of registered voters with Johnson at 6% and Stein at 4%
  • Inclusion of the third party candidates in the ballot appears to equally pull from support for Clinton and Trump with support for Clinton down 2 points, support for Trump down 3 and the undecided or other vote down 5 points

Generic Congressional Ballot (NEW)

In our first publication of our generic congressional ballot question, Democrats hold a sizable advantage nationwide at 44% to 33%. Keep in mind that national vote share does not correspond to success at the district level due to how districts are drawn but this question should be a useful barometer for tracking support levels nationwide

Topline results are available for download on the right side of the page.

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters June 11-15, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 1,602 Americans, including 705 Democrats, 544 Republicans, and 201 Independents ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points for all adults, 4.2 percentage points for Democrats, 4.8 percentage points for Republicans, and 7.9 percentage points for Independents. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

For more information on this news release please contact:

Clifford Young
President, US Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com

Julia Clark
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
312.526.4919
julia.clark@ipsos.com

Chris Jackson
Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2011
chris.jackson@ipsos.com

About Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

To learn more visit: www.ipsos- na.com

About Ipsos

Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry.

With offices in 87 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media, customer loyalty, marketing, public affairs research, and survey management.

Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,785.3 million ($1,981 million) in 2015.

Visit www.ipsos.com to learn more about Ipsos’ offerings and capabilities.


Ipsos/Reuters Poll (June 16): Core Political

Downloads PDF

Topline Results

Contact

Chris Jackson
Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.202.420.2025
chris.jackson@ipsos.com
Clifford Young
President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com
Julia Clark
Senior Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.312.526.4919
julia.clark@ipsos.com