Reuters/Ipsos Poll (September 14): Core Political

Wednesday, September 14, 2016

Washington, DC- Hillary Clinton’s no-good-very-bad week just keeps going. The American public now view both Clinton and Donald Trump equally distastefully leading the national horse race to be tied and very high undecided levels less than two months out. If Clinton is unable to rebound and rehabilitate her image with voters, we are looking at a very close Election Day.

General Election Matchup

  • The race for the White House is essentially tied less than two months out from Election Day. Among likely voters, Hillary Clinton leads by 1 points (40% Clinton to 39% Donald Trump), down from a 2 point lead last week.
    • 20% of likely voters say they plan to vote for someone else, not vote for president or don’t know. This is about double the level seen in 2012.
    • Clinton and Trump are tied among likely voters on the 4-way ballot (Clinton 39%; Trump 39%; Johnson 8%; and Stein 2%) and among registered voters Clinton leads by 4 points (Clinton 40%; Trump 36%; Johnson 8%; and Stein 3%).
  • For the first time since just before the conventions, Clinton and Trump are viewed equally poorly by the American public. Clinton’s favorability score of 44% is statistically tied with Trump’s 43%.

Other Trends

  • With just less than one-fifth of Americans ranking the economy as their main concern on the list of problems facing America, terrorism takes second place with 15%.
  • President Barack’s Obama approval rating among all-Americans increased one point from last week to 48%.
  • In our generic congressional ballot question, Democrats hold a small 2 percentage point lead among likely voters.
  • Topline results are available for download on the right side of the page.

    These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters September 8-12, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 1,752 Americans, including 770 Democrats, 614 Republicans, and 221 Independents ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points for all adults, 4.0 percentage points for Democrats, 4.5 percentage points for Republicans, and 7.5 percentage points for Independents. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

    The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

    For more information on this news release please contact:

    Clifford Young
    President, US Public Affairs
    Ipsos Public Affairs
    202.420.2016
    clifford.young@ipsos.com

    Julia Clark
    Senior Vice President
    Ipsos Public Affairs
    312.526.4919
    julia.clark@ipsos.com

    Chris Jackson
    Vice President
    Ipsos Public Affairs
    202.420.2011
    chris.jackson@ipsos.com

    About Ipsos Public Affairs

    Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

    Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

    To learn more visit: www.ipsos- na.com

    About Ipsos

    Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry.

    With offices in 87 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media, customer loyalty, marketing, public affairs research, and survey management.

    Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

    Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,785.3 million ($1,981 million) in 2015.

    Visit www.ipsos.com to learn more about Ipsos’ offerings and capabilities.


Reuters/Ipsos Poll (September 14): Core Political

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Topline

Contact

Chris Jackson
Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.202.420.2025
chris.jackson@ipsos.com
Clifford Young
President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com
Julia Clark
Senior Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.312.526.4919
julia.clark@ipsos.com