Reuters/Ipsos Poll (September 21): Core Political

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

Washington, DC- Donald Trump will not be tasting the rainbow anytime soon with his favorability numbers reaching one of their lowest points this year. Clinton, coming out of a rough patch, saw a small bump in favorability, but the race remains neck and neck. With the debates less than a week away, the American public will finally get to see the two candidates face off, which could certainly move the dial one way or the other.

General Election Matchup

  • The race for the White House remains nearly neck and neck seven weeks out from Election Day. Among likely voters, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are tied at 39%. Clinton is down 1 point from last week, while Trump’s numbers remains constant.
    • About one fifth of likely voters say they plan to vote for someone else, not vote for president or don’t know. This is about double the level seen in 2012.
    • The race is also tied among likely voters on the 4-way ballot, which includes Gary Johnson and Jill Stein, with Trump holding a small advantage (Trump 39%; Clinton 37%; Johnson 7%; and Stein 2%). However, among registered voters Clinton leads by 4 points (Clinton 39%; Trump 35%; Johnson 9%; and Stein 4%).
  • Over the last week Trump’s favorability numbers have continued to fall, now at 42%, while Clinton’s favorability score has increased to 45%.

Other Trends

  • With just less than one-fifth of Americans ranking the economy as their main concern on the list of problems facing America (19%), terrorism continues to take second place with 14%.
  • President Barack’s Obama approval rating among all-Americans fell one point from last week to 47%.
  • In our generic congressional ballot question, the race is essentially tied among likely voters, 40% Republican to 39% Democrat.

Topline results are available for download on the right side of the page.

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters September 15- 19, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 1,749 Americans, including 722 Democrats, 596 Republicans, 234 Independents, 1,457 registered voters and 1,111 likely voters ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points for all adults, 4.2 percentage points for Democrats, 4.6 percentage points for Republicans, 7.3 percentage points for Independents, 2.9 percentage points for registered voters and 3.4 percentage points for likely voters. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit

For more information on this news release please contact:

Clifford Young
President, US Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs

Julia Clark
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs

Chris Jackson
Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs

About Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

To learn more visit: www.ipsos-

About Ipsos

Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry.

With offices in 87 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media, customer loyalty, marketing, public affairs research, and survey management.

Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,785.3 million ($1,981 million) in 2015.

Visit to learn more about Ipsos’ offerings and capabilities.

Reuters/Ipsos Poll (September 21): Core Political

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Chris Jackson
Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
Clifford Young
President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
Julia Clark
Senior Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs