Reuters/Ipsos Poll (September 26): States of the Nation

Monday, September 26, 2016

Washington, DC- Hillary Clinton holds a small electoral college advantage going into tonight’s big fight, er, debate. However, her lead in several key states is slim and a rough performance tonight could open several paths to 270 for Donald Trump as many states remain tossups.

General Election Trends

  • Hillary Clinton holds a small Electoral College lead heading into the first Presidential Debate. Clinton leads in states equaling 259 votes while Donald Trump leads in states equaling 191 electoral college votes with 88 votes up for grabs.
    • Clinton holds the customary Democratic bastions on the East and West Coast along with the swing states of North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio and Florida.
    • Trump wins across the South and Mountain West.
    • Several states in the Midwest and Mountain West remain too close to call (including Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Colorado and Nevada).

For more information, visit Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation.

Topline results are available for download on the right side of the page.

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters September 2-22, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 45,705 Americans ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 0.5 percentage points for all adults. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

For more information on this news release please contact:

Clifford Young
President, US Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com

Julia Clark
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
312.526.4919
julia.clark@ipsos.com

Chris Jackson
Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2011
chris.jackson@ipsos.com

About Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

To learn more visit: www.ipsos- na.com

About Ipsos

Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry.

With offices in 87 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media, customer loyalty, marketing, public affairs research, and survey management.

Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,785.3 million ($1,981 million) in 2015.

Visit www.ipsos.com to learn more about Ipsos’ offerings and capabilities.


Reuters/Ipsos Poll (September 26): States of the Nation

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Topline

Contact

Chris Jackson
Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.202.420.2025
chris.jackson@ipsos.com
Clifford Young
President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com
Julia Clark
Senior Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.312.526.4919
julia.clark@ipsos.com