Reuters/Ipsos Poll (September 28): Core Political

Wednesday, September 28, 2016

Washington, DC- It looks like Hillary Clinton recovered from her pneumonia and Donald Trump caught the sniffles just in time for the first debate. In our pre-debate polling, Clinton held a lead over Trump. We’ll know later today if that lead has changed with our post- debate release

General Election Trends

  • Heading into the debate Hillary Clinton pulled ahead of Donald Trump. Among likely voters, Hillary Clinton is ahead by 6-percenatage points at 44% to Donald Trump at 38%. She is up 5 points from last week, while Donald Trump is down one point.
    • Going into the debate there is no change in the number of likely voters that say they plan to vote for someone else or not at all, which holds steady at about 20%.
    • Clinton’s lead shrinks slightly amongst likely voters on the 4-way ballot, which includes Gary Johnson and Jill Stein (Clinton 42%; Trump 38%; Johnson 7%; and Stein 2%).
  • Clinton’s favorability rose in the last week to 49% amongst registered voters, while Trump’s favorability score has increased by 1-percantage point to 43%.

Other Trends

  • Terrorism once again tops the list for potential concerns for the United States, with one-fifth of Americans citing terrorism as a top threat. Among Republicans, that number rises to over a quarter (26%)
  • President Barack Obama’s approval rating among all Americans stands at 46%.
  • In our generic congressional ballot question, Democrats have picked up more steam with 42% of likely voters saying that they’ll vote for a Democratic candidate vs 36% saying that they’ll vote for a Republican candidate.

Topline results are available for download on the right side of the page.

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters September 22- 26, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 1,705 Americans, including 752 Democrats, 570 Republicans, 216 Independents, 1,411 registered voters and 1,041 likely voters ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points for all adults, 4.1 percentage points for Democrats, 4.7 percentage points for Republicans, 7.6 percentage points for Independents, 3.0 percentage points for registered voters and 3.5 percentage points for likely voters. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit

For more information on this news release please contact:

Clifford Young
President, US Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs

Julia Clark
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs

Chris Jackson
Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs

About Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

To learn more visit: www.ipsos-

About Ipsos

Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry.

With offices in 87 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media, customer loyalty, marketing, public affairs research, and survey management.

Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,785.3 million ($1,981 million) in 2015.

Visit to learn more about Ipsos’ offerings and capabilities.

Reuters/Ipsos Poll (September 28): Core Political

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Chris Jackson
Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
Clifford Young
President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
Julia Clark
Senior Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs