Washington, DC- Three weeks out from election day the Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
Clinton’s bump from the last week or so receding just in time for the third debate. The effects of
Trump’s “hot mike” incident and second debate performance appear to have subsided
somewhat, and the election has reverted back to pre-debate levels
General Election Trends
- Hillary Clinton continues to lead Donald Trump among likely voters, though her
lead has shrunk to 4 percentage points, with Clinton at 43% to Trump at 39%.
- Nearly a fifth of likely voters continue to support alternatives to the major two candidates
with 18% saying they will vote third party (8%), would not vote (3%) or don’t know (7%).
- Clinton maintains a similar lead amongst likely voters on the 4-way ballot with the
same 4 percentage point margin, which includes Gary Johnson and Jill Stein (Clinton 42%;
Trump 38%; Johnson 6%; and Stein 2%).
- Clinton’s favorability holds relatively steady with 49% amongst registered voters,
while Trump’s favorability score has also held steady at 42%.
- The general economy and terrorism continue to be tied for the most serious problem facing
the United States, with one-fifth of Americans citing each as a top threat.
- President Barack Obama’s approval rating among all Americans also remains
relatively stead over the course of the last week and stands at 51%.
- In our generic congressional ballot question, Democrats saw their lead shrink slightly with
43% of likely voters saying that they’ll vote for a Democratic candidate vs 39% saying
that they’ll vote for a Republican candidate.
Topline results are available for download on the right side of the page.
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters October 13-17,
2016. For the survey, a sample of 1,750 Americans, including 723 Democrats, 643
Republicans, 210 Independents, 1,501 registered voters and 1,190 likely voters ages 18+
were interviewed online. The precision of the
Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case,
the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points for all adults, 4.2
percentage points for Democrats, 4.4 percentage points for Republicans, 7.7 percentage
points for Independents, 2.9 percentage points for registered voters and 3.2 percentage points
for likely voters. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the
The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education,
and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys
and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error
and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of
greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this
is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos
polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.
For more information on this news release please contact:
President, US Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs
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