Reuters/Ipsos Poll (October 27): Core Political Expansion

Thursday, October 27, 2016

Washington, DC- The Ipsos Core Political Data (Expansion) was released today. This reports dives into the Core Political, examining gender, race and education.

General Election Trends

  • In the horserace matchup, Clinton leads among most demographic groups of registered voters, while Trump leads with white registered voters (Clinton 37% v. Trump 42%).
    • Registered voters without any college are the only demographic that is split on the candidates (Clinton 38% v. Trump 38%).
    • Clinton’s lead among minority registered voters remains steady, with her leading by 40 percentage points (Clinton 57% v. Trump 17%).
  • There are few changes in the four-way ballot question.
    • Registered voters with no college lean towards Trump more than in the two-way (Clinton 36% v. Trump 39% v. Johnson 10% v. Stein 3%).
    • Gary Johnson has the greatest amount of support with minority registered voters (Clinton 56% v. Trump 18% v. Johnson 11% v. Stein 3%).
  • Trump’s favorability numbers remain low among all registered voters, led by 45% favorability from white registered voters.
    • Trump’s unfavorable numbers continue to grow among female registered voters, now up to 64%.
    • Clinton favorability also remains low, with only a majority of minority registered voters (62%) and those voters with college or more (55%) rating her favorably.

Topline results are available for download on the right side of the page.

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters October 20-24, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 1,777 Americans, including 567 men, 939 women, 1,188 whites, 318 minorities, 250 no college, 573 some college, and 683 college or more ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points for all adults, 4.7 percentage points for men, 3.6 percentage points for women, 3.2 percentage points for whites, 6.3 percentage points for minorities, 7.1 for no college, 4.7 for some college and 4.3 for college or more. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

For more information on this news release please contact:

Clifford Young
President, US Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com

Julia Clark
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
312.526.4919
julia.clark@ipsos.com

Chris Jackson
Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2011
chris.jackson@ipsos.com

About Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

To learn more visit: www.ipsos- na.com

About Ipsos

Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry.

With offices in 87 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media, customer loyalty, marketing, public affairs research, and survey management.

Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,785.3 million ($1,981 million) in 2015.

Visit www.ipsos.com to learn more about Ipsos’ offerings and capabilities.


Reuters/Ipsos Poll (October 27): Core Political Expansion

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Contact

Chris Jackson
Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.202.420.2025
chris.jackson@ipsos.com
Clifford Young
President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com
Julia Clark
Senior Vice President, US
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.312.526.4919
julia.clark@ipsos.com