Washington, DC - Most citizens around the world believe Hillary Clinton will
win the upcoming U.S. presidential election, though Donald Trump is seen as the favorite by
the people of a few countries. Clinton leads by very large margins in Latin American countries,
while Eastern Europe shows higher support for Trump. More key findings are included below.
Ipsos sampled 38 countries to find out which candidate they believe would win the
- Clinton enjoys significant support from Latin American countries, including Argentina
(74%), Brazil (69%), Colombia (82%), Chile (82%) and Mexico (86%).
- Chinese citizens are split between the candidates, with a small plurality saying “don’t
know” (39%) followed by Trump (32%) and Clinton (28%).
The topline data is available on the right hand side of this page.
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted via Global @dvisor. The survey
instrument is conducted monthly in 25 countries around the world via the Ipsos Online Panel
system. The countries reporting herein are Serbia, Montenegro, Israel, China, Poland,
Hungary, Turkey, India, South Africa, Czech Republic, Sweden, Philippines, Canada,
Australia, Great Britain, Italy, Peru, Vietnam, Germany, France, Singapore, Denmark,
Indonesia, Argentina, Malaysia, Colombia, Brazil, Spain, Taiwan, Netherlands, Belgium, Chile,
Norway, Japan, Mexico, South Korea and the United States of America. Additionally, Serbia
and Montenegro conducted face-to-face polls and the Czech Republic, Netherlands and
Norway conducted their own online polls.
For the results of the survey presented herein, an international sample of 21,689 adults
aged 18-64 in the US, Israel and Canada, and age 16-64 in all other countries, were
interviewed. Approximately 500+ individuals participated on a country by country basis via the
Ipsos Online Panel with the exception of Serbia, Montenegro, Czech Republic, the
Netherlands and Norway, where each have a sample approximately 1000+. The precision of
Ipsos online polls are calculated using a credibility interval with a poll of 1,000 accurate to +/-
3.1 percentage points and of 500 accurate to +/- 4.5 percentage points.
For more information on this news release, please contact:
Senior Vice President
Ipsos Public Affairs
Ipsos Public Affairs
Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research
professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group
with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry.
With offices in 87 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research
specializations: brand, advertising and media, customer loyalty, marketing, public affairs
research, and survey management.
Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and
build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test
advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion
around the globe.
Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global
revenues €1,669.5 ($2,218.4 million) in 2014.
Visit www.ipsos.com to learn more
about Ipsos’ offerings and capabilities.