Most Canadians Favour Clinton’s Policies over Trump’s, But Trump Still Resonates Among Many Canadians

Four in Ten (36%) Canadians Support Withdrawing from NAFTA; Half (51%) of Albertans Believe Trump Best to Lead War on Terror

Monday, November 07, 2016

Toronto, ON – With Americans just days away from casting their ballots for a new President, a new Ipsos poll of Canadians conducted on behalf of Global News has found that while Hillary Clinton’s policies are favoured by most Canadians, Donald Trump’s policies still resonate with many, particularly men and those living in the prairies.

When presented with a list of twelve policy areas, in every case a majority of Canadians said that Hillary Clinton would be better than Donald Trump. Clinton has the most significant advantage among Canadians over Trump when it comes to who would be better for Canada (82% Clinton vs. 18% Trump), who would have a better relationship with the Canadian government (85% Clinton vs. 15% Trump) and who would be a better world leader (81% Clinton vs. 19% Trump).

In other cases, while Clinton still comes out on top, Trump’s policies and approach clearly resonates with many Canadians, including: who would be better at leading the war against ISIS/terror (62% Clinton vs. 38% Trump), who would make things better in Washington, D.C. (65% Clinton vs. 35% Trump), and who would be a better fiscal manager (68% Clinton vs. 32% Trump).

The chart below shows each of the areas tested, and the proportion of Canadians who think that Clinton or Trump would be the better leader in each regard:

Four in Ten (36%) Canadians Support Canada Pulling out of NAFTA…

One of Donald Trump’s core messages is that current trade deals are not in the U.S.’ best interests, and that he would pull out of NAFTA, the North American Free Trade Agreement. It seems that many Canadians agree with his position, with four in ten (36%) ‘agreeing’ (10% strongly/25% somewhat) that they ‘support Canada pulling out of NAFTA’, although only 10% strongly agree with this. Conversely, 64% disagree (24% strongly/40% somewhat) that they’d support Canada pulling out of NAFTA.

Interestingly, BC (46%) is the most likely to support Canada pulling out of NAFTA, followed by those living in Atlantic Canada (41%), Saskatchewan and Manitoba (38%), Ontario (35%), Quebec (32%) and Alberta (28%).

Men Twice as Likely as Women to Say Trump is the Better Candidate…

The data reveals that men are much more likely than women to choose Trump as the person who is better on the files tested, and in most cases are twice as likely as women to select Trump as the better of the two. For example:

  • Men (31%) are twice as likely as women (16%) to believe that Trump would be the better candidate for the U.S., overall, and twice as likely (25%) as women (12%) to believe that Trump would be a better world leader.
  • Men are twice as likely (41%) as women (19%) to believe that Trump would have the better economic policy, and that Trump would make the better fiscal manager (42% of men vs. 22% of women). Men (41%) are also more likely than women (20%) to believe Trump would be better at creating jobs.
  • Men (48%) are much more likely than women (28%) to believe that Trump would be better to lead the war on terror / ISIS.

Many Prairie Residents Believe Trump is the Better Candidate…

The results of the poll suggest that residents of Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba are considerably more likely than those in other parts of the country to believe that Trump is the better candidate. In almost all cases, it’s still not a majority who chose Trump as the better candidate, but he gives Clinton a run for her money in many instances:

  • Those in Saskatchewan and Manitoba (49%) and Alberta (47%) are significantly more likely than those in Atlantic Canada (38%), Ontario (36%), British Columbia (30%), and Quebecers (26%) to believe that Trump would be better at making things happen in D.C.
  • Nearly half of Albertans (46%) and residents of Saskatchewan and Manitoba (45%) believe Trump would be the better fiscal manager, while fewer in Atlantic Canada (40%), Ontario (32%), British Columbia (28%), and Quebec (22%) feel the same.
  • Four in ten (43%) residents of Saskatchewan and Manitoba and Alberta (42%) believe Trump would have a better economic policy, while fewer Ontarians (31%), Atlantic Canadians (30%), British Columbians (27%) and Quebecers (18%) say Trump is better.
  • A majority (51%) of Albertans, and nearly half (44%) of those in Saskatchewan and Manitoba say Trump would be better leading the war against terror/ISIS, while fewer residents of Ontario (39%), Atlantic Canada (38%), Quebec (33%) and British Columbia (30%) say the same.
  • Four in ten (42%) Albertans and 40% of those in Saskatchewan and Manitoba believe that Trump would be better at creating jobs, followed by those in Atlantic Canada (35%), Ontario (31%), British Columbia (26%), and Quebec (22%).

These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between October 28 to 31, 2016, on behalf of Global News. For this survey, a sample of 1,007 Canadians from Ipsos' online panel was interviewed online. Weighting was then employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ±3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Canadian adults been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.

For more information on this news release, please contact:

Darrell Bricker, PhD
CEO, Global
Ipsos Public Affairs
(416) 324-2001
darrell.bricker@ipsos.com

About Ipsos

Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry. With a strong presence in 87 countries, Ipsos employs more than 16,000 people and has the ability to conduct research programs in more than 100 countries. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos is controlled and managed by research professionals. They have built a solid Group around a multi-specialist positioning—Media and advertising research; Marketing research; Client and employee relationship management; Opinion & social research; Mobile, Online, Offline data collection and delivery. Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999. www.ipsos.com


Most Canadians Favour Clinton’s Policies over Trump’s, But Trump Still Resonates Among Many Canadians

Contact

Darrell Bricker
CEO, Global
Ipsos Public Affairs
+1.416.324.2001
darrell.bricker@ipsos.com