Toronto, ON — The U.S. Election isn’t just an interesting sideshow for Canadians, with most Canadians believing it has an impact on Canada. In fact, according to a new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of Global News, most Canadians say that they would consider voting for a Canadian political candidate who espoused many of the underlying policies for which Republic candidate Donald Trump advocates, suggesting that the U.S. election could have an impact on the types of candidates who seek office in Canada, and the degree to which those candidates are given consideration by the Canadian electorate.
Three quarters (76%) of Canadians say they’d be ‘likely to consider’ (33% very/43% somewhat) voting for a candidate of a major Canadian political party who ran on a platform of stricter immigration controls, reviewing trade agreements like NAFTA to ensure they are in Canada’s best interest, shifting expenditures from international development in other countries to priorities in Canada, and getting tough on crime’. Just one in four (24%) Canadians would not be likely (6% not at all likely/18% not very likely) to consider voting for such a candidate. Moreover, this type of candidate could have broad support in Canada, as there are no statistically-significant demographic differences by region, age, gender or income.
Just two in ten (21%) Canadians ‘agree’ (5% strongly/17% somewhat) that the results of the American election won’t have much impact on Canada, while most (79%) ‘disagree’ (37% strongly/42% somewhat), believing that it will have an impact on Canada.
The results of the election could potentially impact areas such as trade, foreign relations and other substantial matters of policy. But it could also have a personal impact on Canadians. For example:
- 45% of Canadians ‘agree’ (21% strongly/24% somewhat) that if Donald Trump wins the election, they will not travel to the United States while he is President, led by women (51%), and those aged 18-34 (51%).
- 18% of Canadians ‘agree’ (7% strongly/11% somewhat) that if Hillary Clinton wins the election, they will not travel to the United States while she is President, led by men (23%) and those aged 18-34 (22%).
There has been talk of Americans moving to Canada if Donald Trump wins the election. However, most Canadians don’t appear too keen on accepting Americans who are attempting to dodge a Trump presidency. Two in three (64%) ‘disagree’ (28% strongly/36% somewhat) that ‘if Donald Trump wins the election and Americans want to move to Canada we should move as quickly as possible to bring them in’. Only one in three (36%) ‘agree’ (10% strongly/26% somewhat) that we should.
These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between October 28 to 31, 2016, on behalf of Global News. For this survey, a sample of 1,007 Canadians from Ipsos' online panel was interviewed online. Weighting was then employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ±3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Canadian adults been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.
For more information on this news release, please contact:
Darrell Bricker, PhD
Ipsos Public Affairs
Ipsos ranks third in the global research industry. With a strong presence in 87 countries, Ipsos employs more than 16,000 people and has the ability to conduct research programs in more than 100 countries. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos is controlled and managed by research professionals. They have built a solid Group around a multi-specialist positioning—Media and advertising research; Marketing research; Client and employee relationship management; Opinion & social research; Mobile, Online, Offline data collection and delivery. Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999. www.ipsos.com